calculated risk

DW (中文)

3小時 · 

五角大楼认为，中国在南海的行为，刚刚好能够激怒美国及其盟友，但又不会引发真正的冲突。这是一系列进行算计的结果。

“精心算计” - 五角大楼分析中国南海策略 | 德国之声 来自德国 介绍德国 | DW.COM | 14.05.2016

五角大楼周五向美国国会提交了一份报告，指出中国在南海的战略重心转向…

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calculated

(kăl'kyə-lā'tĭd) 

adj.

1. Determined by mathematical calculation.
2. Undertaken after careful estimation of the likely outcome: took a calculated risk.
3. Made or planned to accomplish a certain purpose; deliberate: insincere, calculated modesty.
4. Likely; apt.

calculatedly cal'cu·lat'ed·ly adv.

 calculated risk
a risk that you consider worth taking because the result, if it is successful, will be so good:
---calculated risk Meaning in the Cambridge English Dictionary